Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 6.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.34%) and 3-0 (12.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.