Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.26%) and 0-3 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.62%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.