Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK

Baba Yara Stadium

Ghana
2 - 1
CAR

Kudus (43'), Nuamah (88')
Djiku (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mafouta (25')
Pirioua (24'), Yangao (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (13.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Central African Republic
79.71% ( -0.06)	14.98% ( 0.04)	5.31% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 30.41% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.13% (

-0.08)

49.87% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.14% (

-0.07)

71.86% (

0.07)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

-0.04)

10.38% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.1% (

-0.08)

33.9% (

0.08)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.93% (

0.01)

66.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.54% (

93.45% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ghana 79.69%

Central African Republic 5.31%

Draw 14.98%

Ghana	Draw	Central African Republic
2-0 @ 17.59% 1-0 @ 15.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.6% Total : 79.69%	0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.98%	0-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.14% Total : 5.31%