Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 7, 2023 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Baba Yara Stadium
  • Mohammed Kudus 43' goal
  • Alexander Djiku 47' yellowcard
  • Ernest Nuamah 88' goal
  • yellowcard Brad Pirioua 24'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 25'
  • yellowcard Flory Yangao 29'

Ghana vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 3.00pm
Madagascar 0 - 0 Ghana

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 2.00pm
CAR 1 - 2 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (13.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result

Ghana 79.71% (-0.06)
Draw 14.98% (+0.04)
Central African Republic 5.31% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

30.41% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.13% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 49.87% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.14% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.86% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.4% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 86.59% (+0.05)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 89.61% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 10.38% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 66.1% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 33.9% (+0.08)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 33.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 66.07% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 6.54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 93.45% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Ghana 79.69%
Draw 14.98%
Central African Republic 5.31%
Ghana
2-0 @ 17.59%
1-0 @ 15.53% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 13.28% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 79.69%
Draw
0-0 @ 6.86% (+0.03)
1-1 @ 6.44% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 1.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.98%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 5.31%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 5, 2022 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Barthélemy Boganda
  • Sadock Ndobe 23' yellowcard
  • Karl Namnganda 41' goal
  • Cesar Lobi Manzoki 64' yellowcard
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 17'
  • yellowcard Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 66'