Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Mohamed V

Morocco
3 - 0
Liberia

Harit (45+2'), El Kaabi (59' pen.), Adli (89')
Aguerd (6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sangare (15'), Dweh (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	0	0	0
2	Morocco	0	0	0
3	Congo DR	0	0	0
4	Tanzania	0	0	0

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.77%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
Morocco	Draw	Liberia
73.23% ( -0.65)	17.75% ( -0.09)	9.02% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 39.84% (

3.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77% (

2.6)

48.23% (

-2.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62% (

2.33)

70.38% (

-2.33)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.31% (

0.56)

11.69% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.22% (

1.19)

36.78% (

-1.18)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.11% (

3.36)

54.89% (

-3.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.19% (

1.91)

87.81% (

-1.91)

Score Analysis

Morocco 73.22%

Liberia 9.02%

Draw 17.75%

Morocco	Draw	Liberia
2-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.94) 1-0 @ 13.77% ( -1.2) 3-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.28) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.3) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.22%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.72) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.36) Other @ 0.41% Total : 17.75%	0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.02%