Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 17, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Nayef Aguerd 6' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 45'+2' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 59' goal
  • Amine Adli 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mo Sangare 15'
  • yellowcard Sampson Dweh 90'+3'

Morocco vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 4.00pm
South Africa 2 - 1 Morocco

Liberia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 5.00pm
Liberia 1 - 2 South Africa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.77%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result

Morocco 73.23% (-0.66)
Draw 17.75% (-0.09)
Liberia 9.02% (+0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.84% (+3.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.77% (+2.60)
Under 2.5 48.23% (-2.60)
Over 3.5 29.62% (+2.34)
Under 3.5 70.38% (-2.33)
Over 4.5 14.41% (+1.58)
Under 4.5 85.59% (-1.57)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 88.31% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 11.69% (-0.56)
Over 1.5 63.22% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 36.78% (-1.19)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 45.11% (+3.36)
Under 0.5 54.89% (-3.36)
Over 1.5 12.19% (+1.92)
Under 1.5 87.81% (-1.91)

Score analysis

Morocco 73.22%
Draw 17.75%
Liberia 9.02%
Morocco
2-0 @ 14.78% (-0.95)
1-0 @ 13.77% (-1.21)
3-0 @ 10.57% (-0.43)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.34% (+0.40)
4-0 @ 5.68% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 3.41% (+0.28)
5-0 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.30)
5-1 @ 1.46% (+0.15)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-83.48)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 73.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.26% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.72)
2-2 @ 2.66% (+0.37)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 17.75%
Liberia
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.48% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 1.15% (+0.12)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 9.02%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 13, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Mark Pabai 3' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sanoh 55' yellowcard
  • 79' yellowcard
  • Oscar Dorley 83' yellowcard
  • Justin Salmon 84' yellowcard
  • goal Faycal Fajr 56'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 58'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 78'

Build-up

Match Preview