Friendlies 1

Oct 14, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Ivory Coast
1 - 1
Morocco

Haller (45+3')
Konan (15'), Kessie (66'), Fofana (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Kaabi (81')
Saiss (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Ivory Coast and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Lesotho
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Morocco

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Croatia	3	3	5
3	Belgium	3	-1	4
4	Canada	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morocco had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Morocco win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Morocco
57.12% ( -0.33)	22.99% ( 0.24)	19.88% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 51.54% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.13% (

-0.9)

47.86% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.95% (

-0.84)

70.04% (

0.84)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48% (

-0.43)

16.51% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.74% (

-0.78)

46.26% (

0.78)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.74% (

-0.43)

38.25% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.98% (

-0.41)

75.01% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 57.11%

Morocco 19.88%

Draw 22.99%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 57.11%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.99%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 19.88%