Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Ivory Coast
C-C
Mali

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Ivory Coast and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Lesotho
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Mali

All competitions

Last Game: Mali 4-0 South Sudan
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.99%).

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Mali
47.67% ( -0.01)	27.05% ( -0)	25.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81% (

0.02)

58.19% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

0.02)

78.84% (

-0.02)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.53% (

0.01)

24.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.08% (

0.01)

58.92% (

-0.01)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.16% (

0.02)

38.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

0.02)

75.58% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 47.67%

Mali 25.28%

Draw 27.04%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.67%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.28%