Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 16' goal
  • Simon Adingra 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Khubetsoana Kamela 40'
  • yellowcard Thabo Lesaoana 60'

Ivory Coast vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 2.00pm
Zambia 3 - 0 Ivory Coast

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 17, 2023 3.00pm
Lesotho 0 - 1 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 65.37% (-0.47)
Draw 21.3% (+0.24)
Lesotho 13.33% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.2% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.16% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 51.84% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 26.4% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 73.59% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 12.26% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 87.74% (+0.26)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 84.87% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 15.12% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 56.3% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 43.69% (+0.57)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 50.89% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 49.1% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 15.97% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 84.02% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 65.35%
Draw 21.3%
Lesotho 13.33%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 14.02% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 13.24% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.34% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 65.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.98% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.3%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 5.28% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 3.55% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.88% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 13.33%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 9, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volkswagen Dobsonville Stadium
  • Lisema Lebokollane 38' yellowcard