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Africa Cup of Nations

Congo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
Mali national football team

Congo
0 - 2
Mali

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kone (62'), Dorgeles (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Congo and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 0-1 Congo
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 35.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Congo had a probability of 30.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 1-2 (6.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.74%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
CongoDrawMali
30.52% (-4.78 -4.78)33.65% (0.047000000000004 0.05)35.83% (4.731 4.73)
Both teams to score 33.39% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25.04% (-0.161 -0.16)74.96% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.75% (-0.0939 -0.09)90.24% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.81% (-3.752 -3.75)44.19% (3.749 3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.72% (-3.228 -3.23)80.28% (3.225 3.22)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (3.46 3.46)40.16% (-3.462 -3.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (3.012 3.01)76.8% (-3.015 -3.02)
Score Analysis
    Congo 30.52%
    Mali 35.83%
    Draw 33.64%
CongoDrawMali
1-0 @ 14.49% (-1.48 -1.48)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-1.312 -1.31)
2-1 @ 5.4% (-0.599 -0.6)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.341 -0.34)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 30.52%
0-0 @ 17.74% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.46% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.64%
0-1 @ 16.19% (1.56 1.56)
0-2 @ 7.39% (1.315 1.32)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.536 0.54)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.567 0.57)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.314 0.31)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.83%

How you voted: Congo vs Mali

Congo
30.2%
Draw
16.3%
Mali
53.5%
43
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Mali
4-0
Congo
Camara (1'), Bilal Toure (11', 40'), Coulibaly (44')
Kouyate (45+1')

Bidounga (64')
> Preview
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Mali
0-0
Congo
 Mali win 5-4 on penalties
Ballo (45'), Coulibaly (65'), M (99')
Mouandza Mapata (72')
> Preview