Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Ibrahima Kone
62'
-
Nene Dorgeles
73'
Congo vs Mali - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 35.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Congo had a probability of 30.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 1-2 (6.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.74%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
Result
Congo
30.52%
▼
(-4.79)
Draw
33.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Mali
35.83%
▲
(+4.74)
Both Teams to Score:
33.39%
▼
(-0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
25.04%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
74.96%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
9.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 3.5
90.24%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 4.5
3.15%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
96.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5
55.81%
▼
(-3.76)
Under 0.5
44.19%
▲
(+3.75)
Over 1.5
19.72%
▼
(-3.23)
Under 1.5
80.28%
▲
(+3.23)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
59.84%
▲
(+3.47)
Under 0.5
40.16%
▼
(-3.47)
Over 1.5
23.2%
▲
(+3.02)
Under 1.5
76.8%
▼
(-3.02)
Score analysis
Congo
30.52%
Draw
33.64%
Mali
35.83%
Congo
1-0
@
14.49%
▼
(-1.49)
2-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-1.32)
2-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.60)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.58)
3-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.35)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 30.52%
2-0 @ 5.92% ▼ (-1.32)
2-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.60)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.58)
3-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.35)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 30.52%
Draw
0-0
@
17.74%
▲
(+0.10)
1-1 @ 13.22% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.64%
1-1 @ 13.22% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 33.64%
Mali
0-1
@
16.19%
▲
(+1.57)
0-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+1.32)
1-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.54)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.57)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.83%
0-2 @ 7.39% ▲ (+1.32)
1-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.54)
0-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.57)
1-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 35.83%
