Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat
Congo0 - 2Mali
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Sudan 0-1 Congo
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
We said: Congo 0-1 Mali
A tight encounter is expected here as neither team will want to give too much away. That said, we are tipping Mali to secure a narrow victory at the end of the 90 minutes in Brazzaville. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 35.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Congo had a probability of 30.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.39%) and 1-2 (6.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.74%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (14.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Mali |
30.52% ( -4.78) | 33.65% ( 0.05) | 35.83% ( 4.73) |
| Both teams to score 33.39% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
