World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 1
Malawi

Kamara (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mphasi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

All competitions

Last Game: Malawi 2-2 Guinea
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malawi in this match.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Malawi
11.78% ( -0.09)	22.2% ( -0.57)	66.01% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 36.88% (

1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.9% (

1.68)

58.1% (

-1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23% (

1.3)

78.77% (

-1.3)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.47% (

0.86)

55.53% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.8% (

0.5)

88.2% (

-0.5)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.84)

17.06% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

1.47)

47.22% (

-1.46)

Score Analysis

Liberia 11.78%

Malawi 66.01%

Draw 22.2%

Liberia	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 11.78%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 16.75% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 14.81% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 8.73% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.85% Total : 66.01%