COSAFA Cup
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Malawi vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result
Malawi
46.13%
Draw
27.97%
South Africa
25.9%
Both Teams to Score:
44.22%
Goals
Over 2.5
39.04%
Under 2.5
60.96%
Over 3.5
19.03%
Under 3.5
80.96%
Over 4.5
7.79%
Under 4.5
92.21%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
73.52%
Under 0.5
26.47%
Over 1.5
38.34%
Under 1.5
61.66%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
60.15%
Under 0.5
39.85%
Over 1.5
23.49%
Under 1.5
76.51%
Score analysis
Malawi
46.12%
Draw
27.96%
South Africa
25.9%
Malawi
1-0
@
14.01%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 46.12%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 46.12%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.96%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.96%
South Africa
0-1
@
9.71%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 25.9%
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 25.9%