Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	South Africa
46.13%	27.97%	25.9%

Both teams to score 44.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04%

60.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.03%

80.96%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34%

61.66%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.15%

39.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49%

76.51%

Score Analysis

Malawi 46.12%

South Africa 25.9%

Draw 27.96%

Malawi	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 14.01% 2-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 46.12%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.39% Total : 25.9%