World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 15, 2023 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
  • Ivan Salvador 37' yellowcard
  • Emilio Nsue 67' goal
  • Josete Miranda 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bethuel Muzeu 30'
  • yellowcard Absalom Iimbondi 31'
  • yellowcard Ivan Kamberipa 44'

Equatorial Guinea vs Namibia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Namibia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result

Equatorial Guinea 39.83% (+1.43)
Draw 33.43% (+0.26)
Namibia 26.74% (-1.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.74% (-1.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 24.87% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 75.13% (+0.92)
Over 3.5 9.66% (-0.54)
Under 3.5 90.34% (+0.54)
Over 4.5 3.1% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 96.89% (+0.24)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 62.44% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 37.55% (-0.39)
Over 1.5 25.66% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 74.33% (-0.38)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5 52.44% (-2.09)
Under 0.5 47.56% (+2.09)
Over 1.5 17.09% (-1.60)
Under 1.5 82.91% (+1.60)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 39.83%
Draw 33.43%
Namibia 26.73%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 17.49% (+0.77)
2-0 @ 8.57% (+0.47)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.83%
Draw
0-0 @ 17.86% (+0.61)
1-1 @ 13% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 2.37% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 33.43%
Namibia
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.33)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.43)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.37)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.17)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 26.73%