World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 1pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Namibia

Nsue (67')
Salvador (37'), Miranda (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Muzeu (30'), Iimbondi (31'), Kamberipa (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Equatorial Guinea and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Namibia

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Namibia
39.83% ( 1.43)	33.43% ( 0.26)	26.74% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 32.74% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.87% (

-0.92)

75.13% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.66% (

-0.54)

90.34% (

0.53)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

0.38)

37.55% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66% (

0.38)

74.33% (

-0.38)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.44% (

-2.09)

47.56% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.09% (

-1.6)

82.91% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 39.83%

Namibia 26.73%

Draw 33.43%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 17.49% ( 0.77) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.83%	0-0 @ 17.86% ( 0.61) 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.2% Total : 33.43%	0-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.28% Total : 26.73%