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World Cup

Equatorial Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo
Namibia national football team

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Namibia

Nsue (67')
Salvador (37'), Miranda (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Muzeu (30'), Iimbondi (31'), Kamberipa (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Equatorial Guinea and Namibia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Namibia

All competitions
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 39.83%. A draw had a probability of 33.4% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (6.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.86%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawNamibia
39.83% (1.428 1.43)33.43% (0.257 0.26)26.74% (-1.691 -1.69)
Both teams to score 32.74% (-1.092 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.87% (-0.921 -0.92)75.13% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.66% (-0.535 -0.54)90.34% (0.532 0.53)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (0.384 0.38)37.55% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (0.375 0.38)74.33% (-0.38 -0.38)
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (-2.086 -2.09)47.56% (2.081 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (-1.598 -1.6)82.91% (1.592 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 39.83%
    Namibia 26.73%
    Draw 33.43%
Equatorial GuineaDrawNamibia
1-0 @ 17.49% (0.77 0.77)
2-0 @ 8.57% (0.463 0.46)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.83%
0-0 @ 17.86% (0.61 0.61)
1-1 @ 13% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.37% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 33.43%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.424 -0.42)
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Namibia

Equatorial Guinea
70.6%
Draw
20.6%
Namibia
8.8%
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