World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Ahmed Mohamed Aden
36'
-
Moussa Araita
54'
-
Mauro Rodrigues
39'
-
Houboulang Mendes
49'
-
Houboulang Mendes
82'
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Marcelo Djalo
90'+1'
Djibouti vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 82.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 5.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.1%) and 0-1 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.
Result
Djibouti
5.01%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
12.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Guinea-Bissau
82.81%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
37.47%
▲
(+0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.53%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
38.46%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 3.5
39.24%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
60.76%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 4.5
21.54%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 4.5
78.46%
▼
(-0.17)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5
40.28%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
59.72%
▼
(-0.34)
Over 1.5
9.49%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
90.51%
▼
(-0.17)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5
93.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
6.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
74.43%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
25.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Djibouti
5.01%
Draw
12.18%
Guinea-Bissau
82.8%
Djibouti
1-0
@
2.15%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 5.01%
2-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 5.01%
Draw
1-1
@
5.72%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.18%
0-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 12.18%
Guinea-Bissau
0-2
@
14.77%
▼
(-0.09)
0-3 @ 13.1% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-6 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 82.8%
0-3 @ 13.1% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 11.09% ▼ (-0.09)
0-4 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.04)
0-5 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
1-6 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 82.8%