World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 1pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Djibouti
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Mohamed Aden (36'), Araita (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodrigues (39')
Mendes (49'), Djalo (90+1')
Mendes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Djibouti and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 1-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 82.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 5.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.1%) and 0-1 (11.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
Djibouti	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
5.01% ( 0.05)	12.18% ( 0.02)	82.81% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 37.47% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.53% (

0.2)

38.46% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.24% (

0.21)

60.76% (

-0.21)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.28% (

0.33)

59.72% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.49% (

0.17)

90.51% (

-0.17)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.02% (

0.02)

6.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.43% (

0.07)

25.56% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Djibouti 5.01%

Guinea-Bissau 82.8%

Draw 12.18%

Djibouti	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 5.01%	1-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 12.18%	0-2 @ 14.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 13.1% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-6 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 82.8%