World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Camara (10'), Traore (61'), Cisse (90+4')
Ouedraogo (68'), Dayo (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bikel (44'), Semedo (69'), Mane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burkina Faso and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
45.67% ( -0.26)	29.96% ( -0.22)	24.37% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 38.39% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.32% (

0.83)

67.68% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.28% (

0.55)

85.72% (

-0.55)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

0.28)

29.97% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91% (

0.34)

66.09% (

-0.34)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.83% (

0.97)

45.17% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.93% (

0.76)

81.07% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 45.67%

Guinea-Bissau 24.37%

Draw 29.94%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 16.31% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.26% Total : 45.67%	0-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.43) 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.94%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.37%