Guinea vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match.