Mozambique national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 13, 2023 at 1am UK
TBC
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Mozambique
P-P
Guinea-Bissau

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Benin
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mozambique vs. Angola
Friday, October 13 at 1am in International Friendlies

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%).

Result
MozambiqueDrawGuinea-Bissau
36.53% (-0.316 -0.32)30.23% (0.316 0.32)33.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 41.44% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.11% (-0.971 -0.97)65.89% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.49% (-0.674 -0.67)84.51% (0.675 0.67)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.726 -0.73)34.48% (0.726 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.782 -0.78)71.19% (0.782 0.78)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (-0.536 -0.54)36.75% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (-0.541 -0.54)73.54% (0.542 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 36.53%
    Guinea-Bissau 33.23%
    Draw 30.22%
MozambiqueDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 13.49% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.19% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.67% (0.45 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.22%
0-1 @ 12.68% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 33.23%

rhs 2.0


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