Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%).