COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Princess Magogo Stadium

Mauritius
0 - 1
Mozambique

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abudo Zacarias (38')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Mauritius and Mozambique.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Angola 0-1 Mauritius
Monday, July 10 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Mozambique

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 10 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.09%) and 0-3 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mozambique in this match.

Result
Mauritius	Draw	Mozambique
10.98% ( 0.01)	21.33% ( 0.25)	67.69% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 36.78% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

-0.84)

56.78% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

-0.68)

77.72% (

0.68)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.8% (

-0.49)

56.2% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.41% (

-0.28)

88.58% (

0.28)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

-0.37)

16.03% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.63% (

-0.69)

45.37% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Mauritius 10.98%

Mozambique 67.68%

Draw 21.33%

Mauritius	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 10.98%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.33%	0-1 @ 16.49% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 15.09% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.16% Total : 67.68%