Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio 24 de Setembro
Guinea-Bissau0 - 1Nigeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Nigeria possesses the firepower needed to get the job done and will be looking to restore some pride at the Estadio 24 de Setembro. While Guinea-Bissau now have the home advantage in their favour, we predict that the Super Eagles will scrap a narrow win and return to the top of the table. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Guinea-Bissau | Draw | Nigeria |
37.18% ( -0.28) | 27.6% ( -0.36) | 35.22% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
