Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 27, 2023 at 5pm UK

Estadio 24 de Setembro

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 1
Nigeria

FT(HT: 0-1)

Simon (30' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nigeria in this match.

Result
Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
37.18% ( -0.28)	27.6% ( -0.36)	35.22% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

1.37)

56.76% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

1.09)

77.71% (

-1.09)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

0.5)

29.4% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

0.62)

65.39% (

-0.62)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.38% (

1.1)

30.61% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

1.28)

66.85% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Guinea-Bissau 37.17%

Nigeria 35.21%

Draw 27.6%

Guinea-Bissau	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.21%