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Africa Cup of Nations

Djibouti national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Liberia national football team

Djibouti
0 - 2
Liberia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Sangare (23' pen.), Dorley (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Djibouti and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.

Result
DjiboutiDrawLiberia
34.91% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)42.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 65.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36%17.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76%48.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Djibouti 34.91%
    Liberia 42.14%
    Draw 22.95%
DjiboutiDrawLiberia
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 42.14%

How you voted: Djibouti vs Liberia

Djibouti
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Liberia
52.6%
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