Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.