Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 10.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.09%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.