World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Gambia
0 - 2
Ivory Coast

Badamosi (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kouame (45'), Fofana (85')
Adingra (38'), Konate (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gambia and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 3-2 Gambia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 9-0 Seychelles
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
19.89% ( -0.05)	27.28% ( -0.05)	52.83% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 40.02% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.86% (

0.13)

63.13% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.44% (

0.09)

82.56% (

-0.09)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.85% (

0.02)

47.14% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.4% (

0.01)

82.59% (

-0.01)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.73% (

0.1)

24.27% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

0.15)

58.63% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Gambia 19.89%

Ivory Coast 52.83%

Draw 27.27%

Gambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.89%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.27%	0-1 @ 16.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.83%