Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Gambia
2 - 2
Congo

Minteh (79'), Badamosi (90')
Jallow (61'), Colley (62'), Badamosi (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Makouta (30'), Ganvoula (45+1' pen.)
Bifouma (65'), Makouta (69'), Beny Nzaba (72'), Mboungou (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Congo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Congo
34.64% ( -0.15)	26.49% ( 0.03)	38.87% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.44% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.61% (

-0.16)

52.38% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.93% (

-0.14)

74.06% (

0.14)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0.17)

28.81% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0.22)

64.67% (

0.22)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

-0.01)

26.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

-0.02)

61.47% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gambia 34.64%

Congo 38.87%

Draw 26.48%

Gambia	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.87%