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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Congo national football team

Gambia
2 - 2
Congo

Minteh (79'), Badamosi (90')
Jallow (61'), Colley (62'), Badamosi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Makouta (30'), Ganvoula (45+1' pen.)
Bifouma (65'), Makouta (69'), Beny Nzaba (72'), Mboungou (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Congo

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-0 Congo

 Given the attacking records of both teams heading into this one, we anticipate a low-scoring affair with little goalmouth action. That said, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points come the sound of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GambiaDrawCongo
34.64% (-0.151 -0.15) 26.49% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 38.87% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.163 -0.16)52.38% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.14 -0.14)74.06% (0.13999999999999 0.14)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)28.81% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.215 -0.22)64.67% (0.215 0.22)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)26.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 34.64%
    Congo 38.87%
    Draw 26.48%
GambiaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.87%

How you voted: Gambia vs Congo

Gambia
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Congo
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Congo
1-0
Gambia
Makoumbou (74')
Machel Hokemba Ovouka (5'), Ndzila (90+3')

Darboe (44'), Gomez (53'), Ceesay (71')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2020 5pm
Friendlies 3
Congo
0-1
Gambia
rhs 2.0
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