International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
  • Sebastien Haller 66' goal
  • goal Themba Zwane 9'
  • yellowcard Maphosa Modiba 68'
  • yellowcard Teboho Mokoena 90'+3'

Ivory Coast vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 14, 2023 6.00pm
Ivory Coast 1 - 1 Morocco

South Africa

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 5.00pm
South Africa 0 - 0 Eswatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 62.87% ▼ (-0.44)
Draw 22.67% ▲ (+0.49)
South Africa 14.46% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.17% ▼ (-1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.15% ▼ (-1.87)
Under 2.5 54.85% ▲ (+1.87)
Over 3.5 23.85% ▼ (-1.57)
Under 3.5 76.15% ▲ (+1.57)
Over 4.5 10.64% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 4.5 89.36% ▲ (+0.99)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 0.5 16.99% ▲ (+0.81)
Over 1.5 52.89% ▼ (-1.45)
Under 1.5 47.1% ▲ (+1.44)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 50.8% ▼ (-1.21)
Under 0.5 49.2% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 1.5 15.9% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 1.5 84.1% ▲ (+0.87)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 62.86%
Draw 22.66%
South Africa 14.46%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 14.81% ▲ (+0.67)
2-0 @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.16)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% ▲ (+0.12)
0-0 @ 8.36% ▲ (+0.59)
2-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.66%
South Africa
0-1 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 14.46%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 24, 2019 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Salam Stadium
  • Jean Michael Seri 41' yellowcard
  • Max Gradel 58' yellowcard
  • Wilfried Kanon 61' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Kodjia 65' goal
  • yellowcard Lebo Mothiba 23'