Ivory Coast national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
South Africa national football team

Ivory Coast
1 - 1
South Africa

Haller (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zwane (9')
Modiba (68'), Mokoena (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Ivory Coast and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Eswatini
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawSouth Africa
62.87% (-0.437 -0.44)22.67% (0.485 0.49)14.46% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.17% (-1.416 -1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-1.868 -1.87)54.85% (1.868 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-1.569 -1.57)76.15% (1.569 1.57)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.803 -0.8)16.99% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-1.441 -1.44)47.1% (1.44 1.44)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8% (-1.203 -1.2)49.2% (1.203 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.9% (-0.87 -0.87)84.1% (0.869 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 62.86%
    South Africa 14.46%
    Draw 22.66%
Ivory CoastDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 14.81% (0.67 0.67)
2-0 @ 13.13% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.86%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.589 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.66%
0-1 @ 5.93% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 14.46%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs South Africa

Ivory Coast
59.3%
Draw
29.6%
South Africa
11.1%
27
Head to Head
Jun 24, 2019 3.30pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
1-0
South Africa
Kodjia (65')
Michael Seri (41'), Gradel (58'), Kanon (61')

Mothiba (23')
rhs 2.0


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