Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.