South Africa national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Congo DR national football team

South Africa
1 - 0
Congo DR

Foster (25')
Mvala (15'), Xulu (57'), Foster (67'), Grant Kekana (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pickel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between South Africa and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Namibia
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Congo DR

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 2-0 Sudan
Saturday, September 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawCongo DR
53.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)25.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)20.33% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.25% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)57.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)78.62% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.58% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.32% (-0.012 -0.01)54.68% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)43.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)79.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 53.88%
    Congo DR 20.33%
    Draw 25.77%
South AfricaDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 20.33%

How you voted: South Africa vs Congo DR

South Africa
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Congo DR
37.5%
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