Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.