Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Theo Bongonda 8' goal
  • Charles Pickel 53' yellowcard
  • Dylan Batubinsika 80' yellowcard
  • Fiston Mayele 87' goal
  • yellowcard Salaheldin Adil 55'

Congo DR vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 7.00pm
Gabon 0 - 2 Congo DR

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 20, 2023 7.00pm
Sudan 0 - 3 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result

Congo DR 54.4% (-0.18)
Draw 26.52% (+0.10)
Sudan 19.07% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.71% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.38% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 61.61% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 18.54% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 81.45% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 7.51% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 92.48% (+0.10)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 77.08% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 22.91% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 43.32% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 56.68% (+0.27)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 52.81% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 47.18% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 17.37% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 82.62% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Congo DR 54.39%
Draw 26.52%
Sudan 19.07%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 15.93% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 54.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 10.81% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.31% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.52%
Sudan
0-1 @ 8.12% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.05% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 19.07%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 8, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Al-Hilal Stadium
  • Waleed Bakhet Hamid 16' goal
  • Ammar Kamaleldin Taifour 43' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Abdel Rahman 86' goal
  • Mohamed Abdelgader 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bolingi 60'
  • goal Jonathan Bolingi 90'+3'