Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
Gabon national football team

Sudan
1 - 0
Gabon

Kome (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sudan and Gabon.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 1-0 Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
SudanDrawGabon
22.98% (0.141 0.14)27.64% (0.128 0.13)49.38% (-0.27 -0.27)
Both teams to score 42.58% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.25% (-0.307 -0.31)61.74% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.45% (-0.229 -0.23)81.54% (0.227 0.23)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)43.03% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)79.32% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.268 -0.27)25.24% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (-0.369 -0.37)59.99% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Sudan 22.98%
    Gabon 49.37%
    Draw 27.63%
SudanDrawGabon
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.98%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.86% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 14.95% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 49.37%

How you voted: Sudan vs Gabon

Sudan
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Gabon
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 7pm
Gabon
1-0
Sudan
Palun (71')
Oyono (74')

Hashem (65'), Taifour (75')