World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Abedi Bigirimana
31'
-
Frederic Nsabiyumva
35'
-
Emmanuel Mvuyekure
72'
-
Sudi Abdallah
75'
-
Omar Mussa
90'+2'
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Ebrima Colley
37'
-
Omar Colley
45'+4'
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Hamza Barry
61'
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Ebrima Colley
90'+8'
Burundi vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result
Burundi
33.81%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
29.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Gambia
36.22%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
42.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
34.96%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
65.04%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
16.08%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
83.92%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
6.18%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
93.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5
64.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
35.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
27.35%
Under 1.5
72.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
65.77%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
34.23%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
29.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
70.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Burundi
33.8%
Draw
29.96%
Gambia
36.22%
Burundi
1-0
@
12.58%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 33.8%
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 33.8%
Draw
1-1
@
13.49%
0-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.96%
0-0 @ 12.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.96%
Gambia
0-1
@
13.16%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.22%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.22%