Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Uruguay
65.33% ( -0.27)	21.35% ( 0.15)	13.31% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 43% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-0.32)

52.08% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.28)

73.8% (

0.27)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.2)

15.21% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.37)

43.86% (

0.36)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.72% (

-0)

49.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.84% (

-0)

84.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.33%

Uruguay 13.31%

Draw 21.35%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.35%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.31%