World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Darwin Nunez
15'
-
Darwin Nunez
71'
-
Gabriel Villamil
39'
(OG)
-
Gabriel Villamil
59'
-
Ramiro Vaca
64'
Uruguay vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 83.81%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 3.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.73%) and 1-0 (14.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.72%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Uruguay
83.81%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
12.34%
▼
(-0.03)
Bolivia
3.85%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
28.36%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.49%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
45.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
32.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
67.84%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
16.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
83.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
91.72%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
8.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
71.09%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
28.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
30.92%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
69.08%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
5.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
94.63%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Uruguay
83.8%
Draw
12.34%
Bolivia
3.85%
Uruguay
2-0
@
17.75%
▲
(+0.02)
3-0 @ 14.73% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 14.25%
4-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 83.8%
3-0 @ 14.73% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 14.25%
4-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 83.8%
Draw
0-0
@
5.72%
▼
(-0.01)
1-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 12.34%
1-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 12.34%
Bolivia
0-1
@
2.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 3.85%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 3.85%
