/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Furulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcublog.png)
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Facundo Torres
27'
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Facundo Torres
27'
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Maximiliano Araujo
80'
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Maximiliano Araujo
80'
Uruguay vs Cuba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F20%2Fmarcelo-bielsa.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.
Result
Uruguay
81.66%
▲
(+37.70)
Draw
13.19%
▼
(-9.27)
Cuba
5.15%
▼
(-28.44)
Both Teams to Score:
34.73%
▼
(-31.83)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.2%
▼
(-8.88)
Under 2.5
42.8%
▲
(+8.87)
Over 3.5
34.8%
▼
(-9.43)
Under 3.5
65.2%
▲
(+9.42)
Over 4.5
18.12%
▼
(-7.52)
Under 4.5
81.88%
▲
(+7.52)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
91.82%
▲
(+7.92)
Under 0.5
8.18%
▼
(-7.93)
Over 1.5
71.34%
▲
(+16.84)
Under 1.5
28.66%
▼
(-16.85)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5
37.83%
▼
(-41.50)
Under 0.5
62.17%
▲
(+41.50)
Over 1.5
8.28%
▼
(-38.46)
Under 1.5
91.72%
▲
(+38.45)
Score analysis
Uruguay
81.64%
Draw
13.19%
Cuba
5.15%
Uruguay
2-0
@
15.93%
▲
(+10.38)
3-0 @ 13.29% ▲ (+9.91)
1-0 @ 12.73% ▲ (+6.65)
4-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+6.78)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-1.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+1.00)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-52.24)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+1.53)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-86.92)
6-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-15.47)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-2.70)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 81.64%
3-0 @ 13.29% ▲ (+9.91)
1-0 @ 12.73% ▲ (+6.65)
4-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+6.78)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-1.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+1.00)
5-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-52.24)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+1.53)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-86.92)
6-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-15.47)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-2.70)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 81.64%
Draw
1-1
@
6.05%
▼
(-3.54)
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+1.76)
2-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-5.10)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 13.19%
0-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+1.76)
2-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-5.10)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 13.19%
Cuba
0-1
@
2.42%
▼
(-2.83)
1-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-6.12)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 5.15%
1-2 @ 1.44% ▼ (-6.12)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 5.15%