Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Cuba
81.66% ( 37.7)	13.19% ( -9.27)	5.15% ( -28.44)

Both teams to score 34.73% (

-31.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2% (

-8.88)

42.8% (

8.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

-9.42)

65.2% (

9.42)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.82% (

7.92)

8.18% (

-7.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.34% (

16.84)

28.66% (

-16.84)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.83% (

-41.5)

62.17% (

41.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.28% (

-38.45)

91.72% (

38.45)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 81.64%

Cuba 5.15%

Draw 13.19%

Uruguay	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 15.93% ( 10.38) 3-0 @ 13.29% ( 9.91) 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 6.65) 4-0 @ 8.32% ( 6.78) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.99) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 3.6) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 1.52) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 1.09) 6-0 @ 1.74% ( 1.57) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -2.7) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.98) Other @ 3.19% Total : 81.64%	1-1 @ 6.05% ( -3.53) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 1.76) 2-2 @ 1.8% ( -5.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 13.19%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( -2.83) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -6.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 5.15%