Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.