International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2023 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Hwang In-beom 51' goal
  • goal Sebastian Coates 10'
  • goal Matias Vecino 63'

South Korea vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 11.00am
South Korea 2 - 2 Colombia

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 10.30am
Japan 1 - 1 Uruguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

South Korea 43.04% (+0.44)
Draw 27.49% (-0.08)
Uruguay 29.47% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.73% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.4% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 57.6% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 21.63% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 78.37% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 9.29% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 90.71% (-0.06)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 73.49% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 26.51% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 38.29% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 61.7% (-0.38)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 64.95% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 35.05% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 28.2% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 71.8% (+0.22)

Score analysis

South Korea 43.03%
Draw 27.48%
Uruguay 29.47%
South Korea
1-0 @ 12.33% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.59% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.19% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.48%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.47%

Head to Head

World Cup
Nov 24, 2022 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Oct 12, 2018 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)
  • Hwang Eui-jo 66' goal
  • Jung Woo-young 80' goal
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 27'
  • yellowcard Fernando Muslera 65'
  • goal Matias Vecino 72'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 76'
World Cup
Jun 26, 2010 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Luis Suarez 8' goal
  • Luis Suarez 80' goal
  • goal Lee Chung-yong 68'