Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for South Korea had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest South Korea win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.