Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Cameroon had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cameroon win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.