International Friendly

Nov 11, 2022 at 11am UK

Hwaseong Stadium

South Korea
1 - 0
Iceland

Song (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's International Friendlies clash between South Korea and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

Last Game: South Korea 1-0 Cameroon
Tuesday, September 27 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	0	0	0
2	Portugal	0	0	0
3	Ghana	0	0	0
4	South Korea	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Iceland 1-0 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Iceland
59.82% ( -0.15)	23.69% ( -0.03)	16.49% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 43.61% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

0.35)

55.31% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

0.28)

76.52% (

-0.28)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

0.07)

18.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72% (

0.12)

49.28% (

-0.13)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

0.44)

46.65% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

0.33)

82.22% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

South Korea 59.8%

Iceland 16.49%

Draw 23.69%

South Korea	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.8%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 16.49%