South Korea national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Colombia national football team

South Korea
2 - 2
Colombia

Heung-min (10', 45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rodriguez (46'), Carrascal (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between South Korea and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Brazil 4-1 South Korea
Monday, December 5 at 7pm in World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: USA 0-0 Colombia
Sunday, January 29 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawColombia
40.79% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)27.42% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)31.79% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.86% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)56.61% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)77.58% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.25% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)62.68% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (0.054000000000002 0.05)32.83% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (0.062000000000001 0.06)69.39% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 40.79%
    Colombia 31.79%
    Draw 27.41%
South KoreaDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.79%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: South Korea vs Colombia

South Korea
59.3%
Draw
17.7%
Colombia
23.0%
113
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2019 11am
International Friendlies
South Korea
2-1
Colombia
Heung-min (16'), Jae-sung (58')
In-beom (12')
Diaz (49')
Diaz (45'), Murillo (56'), Falcao (89')
Jul 3, 2013 7pm
Round of 16
Colombia
1-1
South Korea
South Korea win 8-7 on penalties
Joo-Hoon
rhs 2.0


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