International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 1.20am UK

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

Colombia
2 - 0
Paraguay

Sanchez (14'), Falcao (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Colombia and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Thursday, November 17 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 75.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Colombia in this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Paraguay
75.12% ( 26.45)	17.1% ( -9.45)	7.79% ( -17)

Both teams to score 36.67% (

-10.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.59% (

7.35)

49.41% (

-7.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

6.25)

71.45% (

-6.25)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.5% (

11.88)

11.5% (

-11.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.63% (

20.98)

36.37% (

-20.99)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.44% (

-20.07)

58.56% (

20.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.1% (

-14.66)

89.89% (

14.66)

Score Analysis

Colombia 75.11%

Paraguay 7.79%

Draw 17.1%

Colombia	Draw	Paraguay
2-0 @ 15.75% ( 6.25) 1-0 @ 14.56% ( 1.49) 3-0 @ 11.35% ( 6.75) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.65) 4-0 @ 6.14% ( 4.47) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 1.68) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 1.69) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 2.17) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.47) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.96) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.84) Other @ 2.85% Total : 75.11%	1-1 @ 7.79% ( -4.69) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -2.27) 2-2 @ 2.26% ( -2.08) Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.1%	0-1 @ 3.6% ( -4.99) 1-2 @ 2.09% ( -3.88) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( -3.14) Other @ 1.13% Total : 7.79%