International Friendlies
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-
Davinson Sanchez
14'
-
Radamel Falcao
76'
Colombia vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 75.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 7.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.56%) and 3-0 (11.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Colombia in this match.
Result
Colombia
75.12%
▲
(+26.45)
Draw
17.1%
▼
(-9.46)
Paraguay
7.79%
▼
(-17.00)
Both Teams to Score:
36.67%
▼
(-10.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.59%
▲
(+7.35)
Under 2.5
49.41%
▼
(-7.36)
Over 3.5
28.54%
▲
(+6.25)
Under 3.5
71.45%
▼
(-6.26)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5
88.5%
▲
(+11.88)
Under 0.5
11.5%
▼
(-11.88)
Over 1.5
63.63%
▲
(+20.99)
Under 1.5
36.37%
▼
(-20.99)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
41.44%
▼
(-20.07)
Under 0.5
58.56%
▲
(+20.07)
Over 1.5
10.1%
▼
(-14.67)
Under 1.5
89.89%
▲
(+14.66)
Score analysis
Colombia
75.11%
Draw
17.1%
Paraguay
7.79%
Colombia
2-0
@
15.75%
▲
(+6.25)
1-0 @ 14.56% ▲ (+1.50)
3-0 @ 11.35% ▲ (+6.75)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.65)
4-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+4.47)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+1.69)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+1.69)
5-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-45.95)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.48)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-44.98)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 75.11%
1-0 @ 14.56% ▲ (+1.50)
3-0 @ 11.35% ▲ (+6.75)
2-1 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.65)
4-0 @ 6.14% ▲ (+4.47)
3-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+1.69)
4-1 @ 3.29% ▲ (+1.69)
5-0 @ 2.66% ▼ (-45.95)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.48)
5-1 @ 1.42% ▼ (-44.98)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 75.11%
Draw
1-1
@
7.79%
▼
(-4.69)
0-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-2.27)
2-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-2.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.1%
0-0 @ 6.73% ▼ (-2.27)
2-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-2.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.1%
Paraguay
0-1
@
3.6%
▼
(-4.99)
1-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-3.88)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 7.79%
1-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-3.88)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 7.79%
