Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	United Arab Emirates
41.49% ( 0.14)	25.82% ( 0.15)	32.68% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

-0.75)

49.96% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04% (

-0.67)

71.95% (

0.67)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

-0.26)

23.86% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.95% (

-0.37)

58.05% (

0.37)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

-0.56)

28.87% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

-0.7)

64.74% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 41.49%

United Arab Emirates 32.68%

Draw 25.81%

Paraguay	Draw	United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.49%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.68%