International Friendly

Nov 17, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional de Lima

Peru
1 - 0
Paraguay

Valera (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendly clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Paraguay

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Morocco
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Paraguay
42.67% ( 0.41)	26.81% ( -0.02)	30.51% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3% (

-0.05)

54.7% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

-0.04)

76.02% (

0.04)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

0.19)

25.38% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.82% (

0.26)

60.18% (

-0.26)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.3)

32.76% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.34)

69.31% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Peru 42.66%

Paraguay 30.51%

Draw 26.81%

Peru	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.66%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.51%