Peru vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.