International Friendlies
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-
Alexander Larin
34'
-
Eriq Zavaleta
19'
(OG)
-
Gianluca Lapadula
40'
-
Brayan Reyna
81'
-
Christian Cueva
86'
El Salvador vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
Result
El Salvador
36.49%
▼
(-20.14)
Draw
26.37%
▲
(+1.16)
Peru
37.15%
▲
(+18.98)
Both Teams to Score:
53%
▲
(+10.41)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.26%
▲
(+6.62)
Under 2.5
51.74%
▼
(-6.62)
Over 3.5
26.49%
▲
(+5.46)
Under 3.5
73.51%
▼
(-5.46)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5
72.61%
▼
(-6.75)
Under 0.5
27.39%
▲
(+6.75)
Over 1.5
37.14%
▼
(-9.65)
Under 1.5
62.86%
▲
(+9.65)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
72.99%
▲
(+19.32)
Under 0.5
27.01%
▼
(-19.32)
Over 1.5
37.64%
▲
(+19.61)
Under 1.5
62.36%
▼
(-19.62)
Score analysis
El Salvador
36.49%
Draw
26.37%
Peru
37.15%
El Salvador
1-0
@
9.58%
▼
(-5.51)
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-1.05)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-5.70)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-1.32)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-3.59)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.45)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.77)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.49%
2-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-1.05)
2-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-5.70)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-1.32)
3-0 @ 2.68% ▼ (-3.59)
3-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.45)
4-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.77)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 36.49%
Draw
1-1
@
12.54%
▲
(+0.93)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-2.17)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+1.80)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-46.50)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▼ (-2.17)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+1.80)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-46.50)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
Peru
0-1
@
9.68%
▲
(+2.33)
1-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+3.75)
0-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+3.51)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+2.44)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-69.84)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-88.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-20.83)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.15%
1-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+3.75)
0-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+3.51)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+2.44)
0-3 @ 2.77% ▼ (-69.84)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▼ (-88.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▼ (-20.83)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.15%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2019 12.00am
0
2
HT :
0
0
FT
Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium (Washington, District of Columbia)
-
Renato Tapia
82'
-
Miguel Trauco
61'
(OG)
-
Marvin Monterrosa
83'
-
Oscar Ceren
90'