Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Uruguay
39.45% ( -0.13)	29.2% ( -0.06)	31.36% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 43.76% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.09% (

0.24)

62.91% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.6% (

0.18)

82.4% (

-0.18)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.91% (

0.04)

31.09% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

0.05)

67.41% (

-0.06)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.5% (

0.28)

36.49% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.72% (

0.28)

73.28% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Japan 39.44%

Uruguay 31.35%

Draw 29.19%

Japan	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.44%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.19%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.35%