International Friendlies
Mar 24, 2023 10.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Takuma Nishimura 75' goal
  • goal Federico Valverde 38'

Japan vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

Uruguay

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Japan 39.45% (-0.14)
Draw 29.2% (-0.07)
Uruguay 31.36% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.76% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.09% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 62.91% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 17.6% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 82.4% (-0.18)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 68.91% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 31.09% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.58% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.41% (-0.06)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 63.5% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 36.49% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 26.72% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 73.28% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Japan 39.44%
Draw 29.19%
Uruguay 31.35%
Japan
1-0 @ 13.25% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.04% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 39.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.93% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.19%
Uruguay
0-1 @ 11.43% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.77% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 31.35%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 21, 2019 12.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre
  • Luis Suarez 32' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 66' goal
  • goal Koji Miyoshi 25'
  • yellowcard Naomichi Ueda 31'
  • goal Koji Miyoshi 59'
  • yellowcard Shoya Nakajima 78'
International Friendlies
Oct 16, 2018 11.35am
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Saitama Stadium 2002 (Saitama)
  • Takumi Minamino 10' goal
  • Yuya Osako 36' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 59' goal
  • Takumi Minamino 66' goal
  • goal Gaston Pereiro 28'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Saracchi 53'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 57'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 75'