Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.