International Friendlies
Jun 12, 2023 12.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
  • Marcelino Nunez 13' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 13' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 27' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 27' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 69' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 69' goal

Chile vs Cuba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
Chile 3 - 2 Paraguay

Cuba

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Chile in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chile.

Result

Chile 47.9% (-2.01)
Draw 26.53% (+0.46)
Cuba 25.57% (+1.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.87% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.85% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 56.15% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 22.79% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 77.21% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 9.99% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 90.01% (+0.27)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 76.53% (-1.13)
Under 0.5 23.47% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 42.51% (-1.67)
Under 1.5 57.49% (+1.67)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5 62.55% (+1.11)
Under 0.5 37.45% (-1.11)
Over 1.5 25.77% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 74.23% (-1.07)

Score analysis

Chile 47.9%
Draw 26.52%
Cuba 25.57%
Chile
1-0 @ 12.74% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.45)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.79% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.45% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.52%
Cuba
0-1 @ 8.63% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 6.14% (+0.29)
0-2 @ 4.24% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 2.01% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.15)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.57%