Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Chile in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chile.