International Friendly

Nov 16, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadion Slaski

Poland
1 - 0
Chile

Piatek (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Poland and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 2-3 Poland
Monday, November 17 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Chile

All competitions

Last Game: Chile 2-1 Peru
Tuesday, November 18 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	17	22	38
2	Ecuador	17	8	29
3	Brazil	17	8	28
4	Uruguay	17	10	27
5	Colombia	17	7	25
6	Paraguay	17	3	25
7	Venezuela	17	-7	18
8	Bolivia	17	-19	17
9	Peru	17	-14	12
10	Chile	17	-18	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Chile had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Chile
50.16% ( -0.01)	21.32% ( -0)	28.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 67.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.04% (

0.01)

30.96% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.67% (

0.01)

52.33% (

-0.01)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

12.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.72% (

39.28% (

-0)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.01)

22.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

0.01)

55.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Poland 50.16%

Chile 28.52%

Draw 21.32%

Poland	Draw	Chile
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.29% 4-3 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.32%	1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.3% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.52%