Mar 26, 2025 12.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Felipe Loyola 84'
Felipe Loyola 84'

Gonzalo Plata 85'
Gonzalo Plata 85'
90'+3'
Joel Ordonez 90'+5'
Joel Ordonez 90'+5'

Chile vs Ecuador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Chile vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Chile vs. Ecuador - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 23 Mar 2025 21:05

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

L
W
W
D
L
L

World Cup Qualifying - South America

L
W
D
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 20, 2025 11.00pm

Paraguay 1 - 0 Chile

Ecuador

All competitions

W
W
W
D
D
W

World Cup Qualifying - South America

W
W
W
D
D
W

Last game

Mar 21, 2025 9.00pm

Ecuador 2 - 1 Venezuela

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result

Chile 62.79% ▼ (-2.73)

Draw 21.97% ▲ (+0.88)

Ecuador 15.24% ▲ (+1.84)

Both Teams to Score:

45.83% ▲ (+1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.14% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 50.86% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 27.26% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 72.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 4.5 12.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 4.5 87.18% ▼ (-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 84.36% ▼ (-0.88)

Under 0.5 15.63% ▲ (+0.87)

Over 1.5 55.35% ▼ (-1.64)

Under 1.5 44.65% ▲ (+1.64)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 54.33% ▲ (+2.74)

Under 0.5 45.67% ▼ (-2.75)

Over 1.5 18.54% ▲ (+2.07)

Under 1.5 81.46% ▼ (-2.07)

Score analysis

Chile 62.78%

Draw 21.96%

Ecuador 15.24%

Chile

1-0 @ 13.24% ▼ (-0.43)

2-0 @ 12.29% ▼ (-0.79)

2-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.15)

3-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.74)

3-1 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.09)

4-0 @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.46)

4-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.13)

3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.15)

5-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.22)

4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)

5-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.09)

Other @ 2%

Total : 62.78%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.47)

0-0 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.34)

Other @ 0.67%

Total : 21.96%

Ecuador

0-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.42)

1-2 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.48)

0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.32)

1-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-85.94)

Other @ 2.32%

Total : 15.24%

Head to Head

Nov 21, 2023 11.30pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

Angel Mena 21'
Felix Torres 36'
Angelo Preciado 61'

Erick Pulgar 44'
Rodrigo Echeverria 62'

Nov 17, 2021 12.15am

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Arturo Vidal 14'
Jean Meneses 55'

Pervis Estupinan 9'
Byron Castillo 26'
Alan Franco 45'+2'
Moises Caicedo 90'+3'

Sep 5, 2021 10.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Enner Valencia 21'
Junior Sornoza 63'

Sebastian Vegas 13'
Enzo Roco 58'
Eduardo Vargas 71'

Jun 22, 2019 12.00am

1

2

HT : 1 1

FT Itaipava Arena Forte Nova, Salvador

Sebastian Mendez 3'
Enner Valencia 26'
Angel Mena 34'
Robert Arboleda 78'
Carlos Gruezo 81'
Gabriel Achilier 89'
Pedro Velasco 96'

Jose Fuenzalida 8'
Gabriel Arias 44'
Alexis Sanchez 51'
Jean Beausejour 52'
Mauricio Isla 82'
Arturo Vidal 86'

Oct 6, 2017 12.30am

2

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Eduardo Vargas 22'
Alexis Sanchez 85'

Renato Ibarra 82'

Jun 12, 2015 12.30am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Nacional, Santiago

Gonzalo Jara 32'
Artuo Vidal 67'
Matias Fernandez 74'
Eduardo Vargas 84'
Matias Fernandez 93'

Fidel Martinez 24'
Osbaldo Lastra 42'

Form Data

Paraguay 1 - 0 Chile

Chile 6 - 1 Panama

Chile 4 - 2 Venezuela

Peru 0 - 0 Chile

Colombia 4 - 0 Chile

Chile 1 - 2 Brazil

Ecuador 2 - 1 Venezuela

Colombia 0 - 1 Ecuador

Ecuador 4 - 0 Bolivia

Uruguay 0 - 0 Ecuador

Ecuador 0 - 0 Paraguay

Ecuador 1 - 0 Peru