World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Ecuador0 - 0Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 0-0 Paraguay
Ecuador ended 2023 by going five games unbeaten, and despite losing to Brazil last time out, the win over Peru suggests they should be among the favourites to qualify, and they will be favourites to win again here. It is almost certain to be a cagey encounter though, and Paraguay took four points from September's internationals without conceding, so they are likely to make it tough for Ecuador. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
60.5% ( 0.68) | 24.81% ( -0.38) | 14.68% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 37.43% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
