World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Moises Caicedo
32'
-
Agustin Sandez
83'
Ecuador vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
Result
Ecuador
60.5%
▲
(+0.68)
Draw
24.81%
▼
(-0.38)
Paraguay
14.68%
▼
(-0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
37.43%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.39%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 2.5
61.61%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 3.5
18.55%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 3.5
81.45%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 4.5
7.52%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 4.5
92.48%
▼
(-0.30)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
79.59%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 0.5
20.41%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 1.5
47.16%
▲
(+0.89)
Under 1.5
52.84%
▼
(-0.89)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
47.02%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
52.98%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
13.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
86.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Ecuador
60.5%
Draw
24.81%
Paraguay
14.68%
Ecuador
1-0
@
17.18%
▼
(-0.18)
2-0 @ 13.65% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.5%
2-0 @ 13.65% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.91%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.81%
0-0 @ 10.81% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.81%
Paraguay
0-1
@
6.87%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.68%
1-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.68%
Head to Head
-
Robert Morales
10'
-
Miguel Almiron
32'
-
Blas Riveros
39'
-
Andres Cubas
43'
-
Piero Hincapie
45'+6'
-
Miguel Almiron
54'
-
Gustavo Gomez
81'
-
Blas Riveros
88'
-
Mathias Villasanti
90'+1'
-
Enner Valencia
53'
-
Felix Torres
72'
-
Jordy Caicedo
85'