Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 13.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.74%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Paraguay
63.82% ( 0.09)	22.65% ( 0)	13.53% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 40.09% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-0.18)

56.4% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-0.14)

77.41% (

0.14)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.03)

17.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.05)

47.49% (

0.05)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.43% (

-0.26)

51.57% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.28% (

-0.17)

85.72% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Panama 63.82%

Paraguay 13.53%

Draw 22.65%

Panama	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 63.82%	1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 13.53%