International Friendlies
Jun 12, 2024 1.00am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
  • Victor Davila 17' goal
  • Victor Davila 17' goal
  • Mauricio Isla 28' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 28' yellowcard
  • Victor Davila 37' goal
  • Victor Davila 37' goal
  • Eduardo Vargas 53' goal
  • Eduardo Vargas 53' goal
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Peralta 23'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Peralta 23'

Chile vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 26, 2024 8.00pm
France 3 - 2 Chile

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 1.30am
Peru 0 - 0 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.21%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.56%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result

Chile 70.8% (+0.13)
Draw 20.85% (-0.07)
Paraguay 8.35% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

29.86% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.99% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 61.01% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 18.99% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 81% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 7.77% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 92.23% (-0.02)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 83.55% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 16.45% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 53.86% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 46.14% (-0.11)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 35.74% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 64.25% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 7.32% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 92.67% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Chile 70.78%
Draw 20.84%
Paraguay 8.35%
Chile
1-0 @ 19.07%
2-0 @ 17.21% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 10.35% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.67% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.58%
4-1 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 70.78%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02)
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.84%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 8.35%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 17, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
  • Guillermo Maripan 22' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Maripan 22' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 78' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 78' yellowcard
  • Victor Mendez 88' redcard
  • Victor Mendez 88' redcard
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 38'
  • yellowcard Diego Gomez 38'
  • redcard Robert Rojas 44'
  • redcard Robert Rojas 44'
  • yellowcard Hernesto Caballero 71'
  • yellowcard Hernesto Caballero 71'
  • yellowcard Matias Rojas 78'
  • yellowcard Matias Rojas 78'
International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Monumental David Arellano
  • Paulo Diaz 25' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 76' goal
  • Antony Silva 90'+2' goal
  • goal Matias Rojas 32'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 34'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Nov 11, 2021 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Antony Silva 56' (OG)
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 11, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charles Aranguiz 23' yellowcard
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 42' yellowcard
  • Luis Jimenez 54' yellowcard
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 69' goal
  • Mauricio Isla 72' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 74' redcard
  • yellowcard Jorge Morel 15'
  • yellowcard Hernan Perez 23'
  • yellowcard Omar Alderete 83'
  • redcard Omar Alderete 89'
Copa America
Jun 25, 2021 1.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ben Brereton 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 56' yellowcard
  • Claudio Bravo 58' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Samudio 33'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 58'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 78'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Aug 31, 2017 11.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Monumental David Arellano
  • goal Arturo Vidal 24' (OG)
  • goal Victor Caceres 55'
  • goal Richard Ortiz 92'