Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 8.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.21%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.56%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.