World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Angel Mena
21'
-
Felix Torres
36'
-
Angelo Preciado
61'
-
Erick Pulgar
44'
-
Rodrigo Echeverria
62'
Ecuador vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.42%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.
Result
Ecuador
47.17%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
29.64%
▲
(+0.10)
Chile
23.19%
▲
(+0.29)
Both Teams to Score:
38.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
32.55%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 2.5
67.44%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 3.5
14.43%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
85.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
5.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
94.66%
▲
(+0.04)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5
70.94%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
29.06%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
35.02%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
64.97%
▲
(+0.31)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
53.81%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
46.19%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
81.86%
▼
(-0.18)
Score analysis
Ecuador
47.15%
Draw
29.63%
Chile
23.18%
Ecuador
1-0
@
16.58%
▼
(-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 47.15%
2-0 @ 10.24% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 47.15%
Draw
0-0
@
13.42%
▲
(+0.06)
1-1 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.63%
1-1 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.63%
Chile
0-1
@
10.36%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.18%
Head to Head
-
Sebastian Mendez
3'
-
Enner Valencia
26'
-
Angel Mena
34'
-
Robert Arboleda
78'
-
Carlos Gruezo
81'
-
Gabriel Achilier
89'
-
Pedro Velasco
96'
-
Jose Fuenzalida
8'
-
Gabriel Arias
44'
-
Alexis Sanchez
51'
-
Jean Beausejour
52'
-
Mauricio Isla
82'
-
Arturo Vidal
86'