World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

Ecuador
1 - 0
Chile

Mena (21')
Torres (36'), Preciado (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pulgar (44'), Echeverria (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Ecuador
Thursday, November 16 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 0-0 Paraguay
Friday, November 17 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	5	5	12
2	Uruguay	5	5	10
3	Colombia	5	2	9
4	Venezuela	5	3	8
5	Ecuador	5	1	8
6	Brazil	5	2	7
7	Paraguay	5	-1	5
8	Chile	5	-3	5
9	Bolivia	5	-7	3
10	Peru	5	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Chile had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.42%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Chile
47.17% ( -0.38)	29.64% ( 0.1)	23.19% ( 0.28)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Ecuador	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 16.58% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.36% Total : 47.15%	0-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.63%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.18%