World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
Yeferson Soteldo
45'+1'
-
Salomon Rondon
72'
-
Joel Graterol
73'
-
Darwin Machis
79'
-
Marcelino Nunez
59'
-
Marcelino Nunez
59'
-
Gabriel Suazo
90'+2'
Venezuela vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Chile had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Chile win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
Result
Venezuela
41.07%
▲
(+2.01)
Draw
29.17%
▲
(+0.14)
Chile
29.75%
▼
(-2.15)
Both Teams to Score:
43.29%
▼
(-1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.78%
▼
(-0.95)
Under 2.5
63.22%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 3.5
17.37%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 3.5
82.62%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 4.5
6.87%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
93.12%
▲
(+0.38)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
69.7%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 0.5
30.29%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 1.5
33.53%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 1.5
66.47%
▼
(-0.84)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
62.11%
▼
(-2.15)
Under 0.5
37.89%
▲
(+2.14)
Over 1.5
25.33%
▼
(-2.15)
Under 1.5
74.66%
▲
(+2.14)
Score analysis
Venezuela
41.06%
Draw
29.16%
Chile
29.75%
Venezuela
1-0
@
13.7%
▲
(+0.72)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 41.06%
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 41.06%
Draw
1-1
@
13.3%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.16%
0-0 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.16%
Chile
0-1
@
11.13%
▼
(-0.27)
1-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 29.75%
1-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.42)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.46)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 29.75%