Venezuela national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 1am UK
Audi Field
Honduras national football team

Venezuela
1 - 0
Honduras

Soteldo (37', 37')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Venezuela and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-1 Venezuela
Tuesday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 4-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 29 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawHonduras
29.67% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)27.48%42.85% (0.002999999999993 0)
Both teams to score 47.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.31% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)71.6% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43%26.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 29.67%
    Honduras 42.84%
    Draw 27.48%
VenezuelaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 6.82%
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.57%
0-2 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.84%

How you voted: Honduras vs Venezuela

Honduras
43.2%
Draw
10.8%
Venezuela
45.9%
37