International Friendlies
Nov 21, 2022 8.00pm
Basra Sport City Stadium

Iraq vs Venezuela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2022 2.00pm
Iraq 0 - 0 Costa Rica

Venezuela

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 20, 2022 5.00pm
Venezuela 1 - 2 Syria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%).

Result

Iraq 37.65% (-12.31)
Draw 28.52% (+4.89)
Venezuela 33.83% (+7.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.14% (-11.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.78% (-16.52)
Under 2.5 60.23% (+16.52)
Over 3.5 19.59% (-14.31)
Under 3.5 80.41% (+14.32)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (-13.24)
Under 0.5 30.83% (+13.24)
Over 1.5 32.89% (-18.94)
Under 1.5 67.11% (+18.94)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5 66.71% (-3.21)
Under 0.5 33.29% (+3.21)
Over 1.5 30.09% (-3.69)
Under 1.5 69.91% (+3.70)

Score analysis

Iraq 37.64%
Draw 28.51%
Venezuela 33.83%
Iraq
1-0 @ 12.07% (+2.88)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-1.79)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.89)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-2.50)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-1.85)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-1.66)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 37.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.28% (+2.25)
0-0 @ 10.26% (+4.97)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-1.47)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
Venezuela
0-1 @ 11.28% (+4.93)
1-2 @ 7.3% (+0.67)
0-2 @ 6.21% (+2.39)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.28% (+0.75)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.74)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.83%